$BAC (Bank of America Corporation)
Fundamental analysis of Bank of America as of September 13, 2025
Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is trading at $50.58 , with a total return of 33.9% over the past year and an estimated fair value of $62.87, implying a 24.3% upside potential from the current price. The analyst consensus maintains a positive outlook, with a "Strong Buy" recommendation (1.6/5) and an average price target of $53.52.
Strengths:
Comparison: Bank of America vs. Major US Banks
Perspectives
Bank of America maintains a solid profile, with moderate growth and growth potential above the sector's, although it faces challenges in margins and regulatory costs. The stock is trading near its all-time high, but fair value and consensus suggest further upside potential. Main risk: pressure on gross margin and a complex macroeconomic environment.
The content of this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) is trading at $50.58 , with a total return of 33.9% over the past year and an estimated fair value of $62.87, implying a 24.3% upside potential from the current price. The analyst consensus maintains a positive outlook, with a "Strong Buy" recommendation (1.6/5) and an average price target of $53.52.
Solid profitability and significant growth potential
- Net margin: 28.6% (Q2 2025), one of the highest in global banking.
- ROE: 9.8% (Q2 2025), in line with major US banks.
- PER LTM: 15.4x , adjusted to the sector average and attractive compared to the expected growth of 16.8% EPS in 2025.
- Analysts' fair value: $62.87 (+24.3% theoretical increase).
- Consensus target price: $54.00 (+6.8%).
- Beta 1.34: volatility higher than the sector average.
Liquidity, Solvency and Dividends
- Total assets: $3.44 trillion (Q2 2025).
- Cash and cash equivalents: $838.14 billion.
- Total debt: 819.27 billion; high debt-to-equity ratio (296.7%).
- Market Cap Ratio: Market cap $374.64 billion.
- Dividend yield: 2.2%, with 55 consecutive years of payments and 11 consecutive annual increases.
Growth drivers and risks
Strengths:- Diversified model: retail banking, commercial banking, investment and wealth management.
- Low-cost deposit base, great competitive advantage.
- Net interest income (NII) and commissions are increasing.
- Focus on digitalization and operational efficiency.
- Potential for regulatory expansion (Basel 3) and deregulation.
- Weak gross margin compared to peers.
- High operating and regulatory costs.
- Exposure to the economic cycle and interest rates.
- Negative shareholder profitability in 2024 (-27%).
- Asset revaluation in a high interest rate environment.
- Increased activity in trade and investment.
- Innovation in digital banking and fintech alliances.
- Regulatory and legal pressure (OCC, CFPB).
- Fintech competition and traditional banks.
- Macro risks: recession, credit and geopolitics.
- Cybersecurity and the need for technological investment.
Stock market results and dynamism
- Latest results (Q2 2025): EPS $0.89 (vs. $0.86 expected); revenue $26.5 billion (slightly lower).
- Projected revenue growth of 12.4% for fiscal year 2025; projected EPS for fiscal year 2025: $3.75.
- Price close to the annual maximum (52w maximum: $50.96).
- Maintains a 55-year dividend streak.
| Ticker | Price | PER | ROE | Yield | Upside Consenso | WarrenAI Take |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAC | 50,58 $ | 15.4x | 9,8% | 2,2% | 6,8% | Upside and solidity |
| JPM | 304,81 $ | 15.3x | 16,2% | 1,8% | 0,7% | Leader in profitability |
| MTB | 197,48 $ | 12.2x | 9,5% | 3,0% | 11,2% | Attractive yield |
| PNC | 203,15 $ | 13.6x | 11,4% | 3,4% | 8,7% | Balanced regional |
Perspectives
- BAC combines a solid balance sheet and growth potential, although it is not the most profitable (ROE) or the one that pays the most dividends.
- JPM leads in ROE and size, while MTB and PNC stand out in performance and valuation.
News and catalysts
- Upcoming Investor Day presentation after 15 years, with possible closing of the valuation gap.
- The early repurchase of €2 billion in bonds strengthens the balance sheet and reduces future costs.
- Leads renewable energy financing ($305 million for Summit Ridge Energy).
Conclusion
Bank of America maintains a solid profile, with moderate growth and growth potential above the sector's, although it faces challenges in margins and regulatory costs. The stock is trading near its all-time high, but fair value and consensus suggest further upside potential. Main risk: pressure on gross margin and a complex macroeconomic environment.The content of this analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice.
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